The Citadel
W-L: (11-22) PR = 93.9265Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A ERSKI **-61 1106 H Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 47-76 1110 H Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 86-96 1114 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 92-** 1119 A NGREE 70-57 1124 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 58-70 1126 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 65-72 1130 H Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 41-69 1204 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 63-79 1209 A SOUWE 98-73 1213 H So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 55-71 1217 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 78-82 1220 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 56-80 1230 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 49-74 103 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 86-95 107 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 63-** 110 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 79-77 115 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 66-69 117 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-68 121 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 77-75 123 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 55-84 129 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 80-56 131 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 71-66 205 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 64-78 207 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 78-71 211 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 49-87 214 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 54-70 219 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 75-78 221 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 72-93 225 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 51-72 228 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 93-90 306 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 88-85 307 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 76-83
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Boston Col 47-76 -29 -2 -0.23
1110 H Charlotte So 86-96 -10 0 -1.55
1114 H We Georgia 92-** -8 0 -1.52
1124 H Bellarmine 58-70 -12 0 -1.50
1126 H Houston Chr 65-72 -7 0 -1.72
1130 H Presbyterian 41-69 -28 0 -1.57
1204 H Davidson 63-79 -16 -2 0.00
1213 H So Carolina 55-71 -16 -2 0.00
1217 H Charlotte 78-82 -4 -2 -0.03
1220 H Richmond 56-80 -24 -2 -0.42
1230 H Ea Tenn St 49-74 -25 -2 -0.49
103 H Wofford 86-95 -9 -1 -0.92
107 H Mercer 63-** -38 -1 -0.74
110 A We Carolina 79-77 2 -1 + 2.92
115 H UNCG 66-69 -3 -1 -1.42
117 A VMI 82-68 14 1 1.16
121 A Furman 77-75 2 -1 + 3.45
123 H Ea Tenn St 55-84 -29 -2 -0.49
129 A VMI 80-56 24 1 1.16
131 A UNCG 71-66 5 -1 + 2.60
205 H Samford 64-78 -14 -1 -0.85
207 A Chattanooga 78-71 7 0 + 2.27
211 H We Carolina 49-87 -38 -1 -1.10
214 H Mercer 54-70 -16 -1 -0.74
219 H Samford 75-78 -3 -1 -0.85
221 H Chattanooga 72-93 -21 0 -1.75
225 H Furman 51-72 -21 -1 -0.57
228 A Wofford 93-90 3 -1 + 3.10
306 A Chattanooga 88-85 3 0 + 2.27
307 H Ea Tenn St 76-83 -7 -2 -0.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 A We Carolina 79-77 2 -1 + 2.92 121 A Furman 77-75 2 -1 + 3.45 131 A UNCG 71-66 5 -1 + 2.60 207 A Chattanooga 78-71 7 0 + 2.27 228 A Wofford 93-90 3 -1 + 3.10 306 A Chattanooga 88-85 3 0 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 47-76 -4.19 3.29 -0.01 1.10 -2.31
3 H Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 86-96 -5.51 1.96 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 92-** -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.10 -3.02
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 58-70 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.10 -3.01
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 65-72 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 H Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 41-69 -5.53 1.95 -0.01 1.10 -3.05
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 63-79 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.10 -2.07
3 H So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 55-71 -3.52 3.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.94
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 78-82 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 56-80 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 49-74 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 86-95 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.69
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 63-** -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 79-77 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.10 5.33
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 66-69 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-68 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 77-75 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 55-84 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 80-56 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 71-66 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.64
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 64-78 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 78-71 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 49-87 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.10 -2.79
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 54-70 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 75-78 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 72-93 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.10 -3.15
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 51-72 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.10 -2.50
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 93-90 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.10 5.72
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 88-85 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 76-83 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
------
-23.70
|
winning pts = 34.4590 losing points = -58.1584
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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